The conventional wisdom in Washington is even more demented than usual in its confident prediction of an Obama victory. The fact is that a careful analysis of the polling suggests that he faces the likelihood that his political base will underperform in the 2012 election, voting with their feet by staying home.An enthusiasm gap is hurting Obama's candidacy and his reelection chances.RealClearPolitics helpfully lists all of the test match-ups "¨between Obama and Romney. Of the last 12 polls, going back to March 11, 10 tested their relative strength among registered voters. The...
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